Единица данных.ид.	Единица данных.наим.	Дата.время.	Описание	Факс.код.города ,	Геообъект.код	Единица данных.индекс.	Единица данных.кол.	Параметр.зн.
S1307WTNT24KNHC240840	T	2013-07-24 08:40:00	TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 0900 UTC WED JUL 24 2013 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 28.1W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 28.1W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 27.2W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.6N 30.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.5N 34.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.2N 37.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.8N 41.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.2N 49.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 19.3N 56.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 28.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z .. FORECASTER BROWN=	KNHC	NT	0	0	24
S1307WTNT34KNHC240841	T	2013-07-24 08:41:00	TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 500 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.9N 28.1W ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM WSW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 28.1 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. // FORECASTER BROWN	KNHC	NT	0	0	34
S1307WTNT44KNHC240841	T	2013-07-24 08:41:00	TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 500 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013 GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC HAS INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING. EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED THAT THE SYSTEM HAD A WELL-DEFINED CENTER AND MAXIMUM WINDS OF AROUND 30 KT. BASED ON THESE DATA...THE SYSTEM IS NOW BEING CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED WESTWARD OR WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF A LARGE DEEP-LAYER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLANTIC. THE DYNAMICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN HOW FAST THE CYCLONE MOVES WESTWARD. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW A FASTER FORWARD MOTION THAN MOST OF THE OTHER TRACK MODELS. AS A RESULT...THE NHC FORECAST LEANS TOWARD THESE TYPICALLY RELIABLE MODELS AND SHOWS A FASTER WESTWARD MOTION THAN THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS OF LOWER CONFIDENCE THAN THE TRACK FORECAST. ALTHOUGH THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...THE CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS AND INTO A LITTLE DRIER ENVIRONMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THEREFORE...ONLY SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED IN THE NHC FORECAST. LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC WHICH COULD CAUSE AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. BECAUSE OF THIS...THE NHC FORECAST SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH DURING THE 3 TO 5 DAY TIME PERIOD. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/0900Z 13.9N 28.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 24/1800Z 14.6N 30.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 25/0600Z 15.5N 34.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 25/1800Z 16.2N 37.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 26/0600Z 16.8N 41.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 27/0600Z 18.2N 49.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 28/0600Z 19.3N 56.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 120H 29/0600Z 20.0N 62.0W 40 KT 45 MPH // FORECASTER BROWN	KNHC	NT	0	0	44
S1307WTNT24KNHC241425	T	2013-07-24 14:25:00	TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 1500 UTC WED JUL 24 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 29.9W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 29.9W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 29.0W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.0N 32.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.8N 36.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.4N 39.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.1N 43.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.3N 51.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 19.3N 58.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.1N 64.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 29.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z // FORECASTER STEWART	KNHC	NT	0	0	24
S1307WTNT24KNHC241425	T	2013-07-24 14:25:00	TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 1500 UTC WED JUL 24 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 29.9W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 29.9W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 29.0W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.0N 32.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.8N 36.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.4N 39.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.1N 43.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.3N 51.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 19.3N 58.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.1N 64.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.=	KNHC	NT	0	52	24
S1307WTNT24KNHC241425	T	2013-07-24 14:25:00	REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 29.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z .. FORECASTER STEWART=	KNHC	NT	0	53	24
S1307WTNT44KNHC241431	T	2013-07-24 14:31:00	TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 1100 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL STORM DORIAN. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KT IS BASED ON A 38-KT ASCAT SURFACE WIND AT 1111Z... AND VARIOUS OBJECTIVE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF ABOUT 45 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/18 KT. DORIAN IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD BY A STRONG DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLANTIC. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY PACKED IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON THIS TRACK SCENARIO...WITH THE ONLY DIFFERENCES BEING SLIGHT VARIATIONS IN THE FORWARD SPEED. THE NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS TVCN. FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BE VERY LOW WHILE DORIAN REMAINS OVER MARGINALLY WARM SSTS. HOWEVER... DURING THE 24-48 HOUR TIME PERIOD...DORIAN WILL BE MOVING OVER 25C SSTS...WHICH COULD INDUCE SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THE CURRENT FAVORABLE EQUATORIAL INFLOW OF WARM UNSTABLE AIR THAT IS OFFSETTING THE COOLER MORE STABLE AIR BEING INGESTED FROM THE NORTH...AND THAT COULD OFFSET THE EFFECTS OF DORIAN PASSING OVER COOLER WATERS. FOR THAT REASON...THE INTENSITY FORECAST ONLY SHOWS SLIGHT WEAKENING AT 36- AND 48-HOURS. AFTER THAT...THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO ENCOUNTER BOTH WARMER WATER AND INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR...SO THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS HELD STEADY. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO THE HIGHER INITIAL INTENSITY...BUT THEN FOLLOWS THE TREND OF CONSENSUS MODELS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/1500Z 14.3N 29.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 25/0000Z 15.0N 32.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 25/1200Z 15.8N 36.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 26/0000Z 16.4N 39.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 26/1200Z 17.1N 43.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 27/1200Z 18.3N 51.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 28/1200Z 19.3N 58.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 120H 29/1200Z 20.1N 64.0W 40 KT 45 MPH // FORECASTER STEWART	KNHC	NT	0	0	44
S1307WTNT44KNHC241431	T	2013-07-24 14:31:00	TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 1100 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL STORM DORIAN. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KT IS BASED ON A 38-KT ASCAT SURFACE WIND AT 1111Z... AND VARIOUS OBJECTIVE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF ABOUT 45 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/18 KT. DORIAN IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD BY A STRONG DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLANTIC. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY PACKED IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON THIS TRACK SCENARIO...WITH THE ONLY DIFFERENCES BEING SLIGHT VARIATIONS IN THE FORWARD SPEED. THE NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS TVCN. FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BE VERY LOW WHILE DORIAN REMAINS OVER MARGINALLY WARM SSTS. HOWEVER... DURING THE 24-48 HOUR TIME PERIOD...DORIAN WILL BE MOVING OVER 25C SSTS...WHICH COULD INDUCE SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THE CURRENT FAVORABLE EQUATORIAL INFLOW OF WARM UNSTABLE AIR THAT IS OFFSETTING THE COOLER MORE STABLE AIR BEING INGESTED FROM THE NORTH...AND THAT COULD OFFSET THE EFFECTS OF DORIAN PASSING OVER COOLER WATERS. FOR THAT REASON...THE INTENSITY FORECAST ONLY SHOWS SLIGHT WEAKENING AT 36- AND 48-HOURS. AFTER THAT...THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO ENCOUNTER BOTH WARMER WATER AND INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR...SO THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS HELD=	KNHC	NT	0	52	44
S1307WTNT44KNHC241431	T	2013-07-24 14:31:00	STEADY. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO THE HIGHER INITIAL INTENSITY...BUT THEN FOLLOWS THE TREND OF CONSENSUS MODELS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/1500Z 14.3N 29.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 25/0000Z 15.0N 32.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 25/1200Z 15.8N 36.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 26/0000Z 16.4N 39.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 26/1200Z 17.1N 43.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 27/1200Z 18.3N 51.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 28/1200Z 19.3N 58.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 120H 29/1200Z 20.1N 64.0W 40 KT 45 MPH .. FORECASTER STEWART=	KNHC	NT	0	53	44
S1307WTNT34KNHC241430	T	2013-07-24 14:30:00	TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DORIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 1100 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013 ...FOURTH NAMED STORM OF THE 2013 SEASON FORMS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.3N 29.9W ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM WSW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SATELLITE IMAGERY AND DATA INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC HAS STRENGTHENED THIS MORNING. AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.9 WEST. DORIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING ON THURSDAY AS DORIAN MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. // FORECASTER STEWART	KNHC	NT	0	0	34
S1307WTSR20WSSS241800	T	2013-07-24 18:00:00	NO STORM WARNING=	WSSS	SR	0	0	20
S1307WTNT24KNHC242044	T	2013-07-24 20:44:00	TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 2100 UTC WED JUL 24 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 31.4W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 31.4W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 30.6W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.3N 34.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.1N 37.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.8N 41.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.5N 44.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.7N 51.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.6N 58.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 20.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 31.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z // FORECASTER STEWART	KNHC	NT	0	0	24
S1307WTNT44KNHC242045	T	2013-07-24 20:45:00	TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 500 PM EDT WED JUL 24 2013 CONVENTIONAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE OF DORIAN HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED IN ALL QUADRANTS AS THE VERTICAL SHEAR HAS DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KT IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0/45 KT FROM TAFB. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/17 KT. DORIAN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF AND MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD IN TANDEM WITH A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTH. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO REMAIN TIGHTLY PACKED AND IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO. THE ONLY DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS ARE THE FORWARD SPEED...WHICH IS DUE TO THE STRENGTH AND VERTICAL DEPTH OF DORIAN. THE GFS...UKMET...AND CANADIAN MODELS MAINTAIN A ROBUST AND MORE VERTICALLY DEEP CYCLONE...WHICH GETS STEERED MORE SLOWLY BY THE DEEPER MEAN FLOW. IN CONTRAST...THE HWRF AND ECMWF MODELS WEAKEN DORIAN SIGNIFICANTLY AS THE CYCLONE PASSES OVER COOLER WATER DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WHICH RESULTS IN A SHALLOWER AND WEAKER VORTEX BEING STEERED MORE RAPIDLY WESTWARD BY THE STRONGER EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW. GIVEN THAT DORIAN WILL BE MOVING OVER COOLER WATER AT A BRISK 18 KT FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS...MY FEELING IS THAT THE CYCLONE WILL NOT WEAKEN AS MUCH AS THE SOME OF THE MODELS ARE FORECASTING...AND AS A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST LEANS TOWARD THE SLOWER GFS...UKMET...AND CANADIAN MODEL SOLUTIONS. DORIAN IS BEGINNING TO MOVE OVER SUB-26C SSTS...AND THE CYCLONE SHOULD REMAIN OVER COOLER WATERS NEAR 25C FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...WHICH COULD INDUCE SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING. HOWEVER...BY 36-48 HOURS...DORIAN WILL BE MOVING BACK OVER SSTS WARMER THAN 26C AND IN A VERY LOW VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME RE-STRENGTHENING TO OCCUR. THE LATEST RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE SHOWING A LESS HOSTILE UPPER-AIR PATTERN NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH MORE RIDGING AND LESS INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE BAHAMAS. IN CONSIDERATION OF THAT... THE FORECAST INTENSITIES AT DAYS 4-5 HAVE BEEN INCREASED RELATIVE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/2100Z 14.6N 31.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 25/0600Z 15.3N 34.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 25/1800Z 16.1N 37.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 26/0600Z 16.8N 41.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 26/1800Z 17.5N 44.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 27/1800Z 18.7N 51.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 28/1800Z 19.6N 58.9W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 29/1800Z 20.0N 64.0W 50 KT 60 MPH // FORECASTER STEWART	KNHC	NT	0	0	44
S1307WTNT44KNHC242045	T	2013-07-24 20:45:00	TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 500 PM EDT WED JUL 24 2013 CONVENTIONAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE OF DORIAN HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED IN ALL QUADRANTS AS THE VERTICAL SHEAR HAS DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KT IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0/45 KT FROM TAFB. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/17 KT. DORIAN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF AND MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD IN TANDEM WITH A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTH. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO REMAIN TIGHTLY PACKED AND IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO. THE ONLY DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS ARE THE FORWARD SPEED...WHICH IS DUE TO THE STRENGTH AND VERTICAL DEPTH OF DORIAN. THE GFS...UKMET...AND CANADIAN MODELS MAINTAIN A ROBUST AND MORE VERTICALLY DEEP CYCLONE...WHICH GETS STEERED MORE SLOWLY BY THE DEEPER MEAN FLOW. IN CONTRAST...THE HWRF AND ECMWF MODELS WEAKEN DORIAN SIGNIFICANTLY AS THE CYCLONE PASSES OVER COOLER WATER DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WHICH RESULTS IN A SHALLOWER AND WEAKER VORTEX BEING STEERED MORE RAPIDLY WESTWARD BY THE STRONGER EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW. GIVEN THAT DORIAN WILL BE MOVING OVER COOLER WATER AT A BRISK 18 KT FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS...MY FEELING IS THAT THE CYCLONE WILL NOT WEAKEN AS MUCH AS THE SOME OF THE MODELS ARE FORECASTING...AND AS A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST LEANS TOWARD THE SLOWER GFS...UKMET...AND CANADIAN MODEL SOLUTIONS.=	KNHC	NT	0	52	44
S1307WTNT44KNHC242045	T	2013-07-24 20:45:00	DORIAN IS BEGINNING TO MOVE OVER SUB-26C SSTS...AND THE CYCLONE SHOULD REMAIN OVER COOLER WATERS NEAR 25C FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...WHICH COULD INDUCE SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING. HOWEVER...BY 36-48 HOURS...DORIAN WILL BE MOVING BACK OVER SSTS WARMER THAN 26C AND IN A VERY LOW VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME RE-STRENGTHENING TO OCCUR. THE LATEST RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE SHOWING A LESS HOSTILE UPPER-AIR PATTERN NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH MORE RIDGING AND LESS INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE BAHAMAS. IN CONSIDERATION OF THAT... THE FORECAST INTENSITIES AT DAYS 4-5 HAVE BEEN INCREASED RELATIVE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/2100Z 14.6N 31.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 25/0600Z 15.3N 34.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 25/1800Z 16.1N 37.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 26/0600Z 16.8N 41.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 26/1800Z 17.5N 44.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 27/1800Z 18.7N 51.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 28/1800Z 19.6N 58.9W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 29/1800Z 20.0N 64.0W 50 KT 60 MPH .. FORECASTER STEWART=	KNHC	NT	0	53	44
S1307WTNT34KNHC242045	T	2013-07-24 20:45:00	TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DORIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 500 PM EDT WED JUL 24 2013 ...DORIAN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.6N 31.4W ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 31.4 WEST. DORIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AS DORIAN MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. .. FORECASTER STEWART=	KNHC	NT	0	0	34
S1307WTNT44KNHC250247	T	2013-07-25 02:47:00	TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 1100 PM AST WED JUL 24 2013 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF DORIAN HAS BECOME MORE EMBEDDED BENEATH THE COLD CONVECTIVE TOPS. DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE NOW A CONSENSUS T3.0/45 KT WHILE UW-CIMSS OBJECTIVE ESTIMATES HAVE INCREASED TO 50-55 KT. BASED ON RECENT ASCAT DATA...HOWEVER...DORIAN MAY NOT BE PRODUCING SURFACE WINDS ANY HIGHER THAN ABOUT 40 KT. THIS COULD BE DUE TO THE RESOLUTION OF ASCAT SINCE DORIAN IS A SMALL CYCLONE...SO THE INTENSITY IS BEING HELD AT 45 KT ON THIS ADVISORY. THE MOTION REMAINS 285/17 KT WITH DORIAN LYING ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A NORTHWEST-TO-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED MID-LEVEL RIDGE. A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DETACH FROM THE RIDGE AND MOVE WESTWARD TO THE NORTH OF DORIAN FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD... KEEPING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ON A QUICK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD TRAJECTORY. THERE IS VERY LITTLE SPREAD AMONG THE TRACK MODELS ON THIS CYCLE...AND THE NEW NHC TRACK FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK. AN ANIMATION OF SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE FIELDS INDICATES THAT THE WATERS AHEAD OF DORIAN HAVE BEEN WARMING OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...AND IT APPEARS THAT THE CYCLONE WILL LIKELY REMAIN OVER WATERS A LITTLE WARMER THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED. IN ADDITION...DORIAN SHOULD BE MOVING FAST ENOUGH THAT UPWELLING OF COOLER WATER SHOULD NOT BE MUCH OF A FACTOR. THEREFORE...THE NEW NHC INTENSITY FORECAST NO LONGER SHOWS SHORT-TERM WEAKENING AND INSTEAD INDICATES SLIGHT STRENGTHENING THROUGH DAY 5. THIS FORECAST IS JUST A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THE FLORIDA STATE SUPERENSEMBLE AND THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS...BUT NOT NEARLY AS HIGH AS THE STATISTICAL-DYNAMICAL SHIPS AND LGEM MODELS. CONFIDENCE IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS RATHER LOW AT THIS POINT UNTIL WE KNOW HOW DORIAN FARES OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/0300Z 15.1N 33.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 25/1200Z 15.7N 35.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 26/0000Z 16.5N 39.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 26/1200Z 17.2N 42.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 27/0000Z 17.9N 46.3W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 28/0000Z 19.0N 54.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 96H 29/0000Z 20.0N 60.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 30/0000Z 20.5N 65.5W 55 KT 65 MPH // FORECASTER BERG	KNHC	NT	0	0	44
S1307WTNT34KNHC250246	T	2013-07-25 02:46:00	TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DORIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 1100 PM AST WED JUL 24 2013 ...TRADE WINDS PUSHING DORIAN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 33.2W ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.2 WEST. DORIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H. A WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION AT A SIMILAR FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. // FORECASTER BERG	KNHC	NT	0	0	34
S1307WTIN20DEMS250600	T	2013-07-25 06:00:00	TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 25-07-2013 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN /THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA/ VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC: BAY OF BENGAL / ANDAMAN SEA :- BROKEN LOW/MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION OVER REST WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL EASTCENTRAL ANDAMAN SEA CENTRAL TENASSERIM COAST. ARABIAN SEA:- SATELLITE WINDS SHOWS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AT MIDDLE LEVEL OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA. ASSOCITED BROKEN LOW/MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION OVER ARABIAN SEA BETWEEN LATITUDE 16.0N TO 23.0N EAST OF LONGITUDE 63.0E. BROKEN LOW/MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION OVER MALDIEVES COMORIN ADJOINING INDIAN OCEAN NORTH OF LAT 1.0ON BETWEEN LONG 70.0OE TO 80.0E. RIDGE LINE:- RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA PASSES ALONG LATITUDE 28.0ON OVER THE REGION.=	DEMS	IN	0	0	20
S1307WTPN31PHNC250400	T	2013-07-25 04:00:00	MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241651Z JUL 13// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E /SIX/ WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z --- NEAR 15.0N 121.4W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N 121.4W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 15.9N 124.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 16.5N 127.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 17.5N 130.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z --- 18.5N 133.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 20.0N 139.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 20.5N 143.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 21.0N 147.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 250400Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 122.3W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E /SIX/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 637 NM WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251000Z, 251600Z, 252200Z AND 260400Z. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 241651Z JUL 13 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT /WTPN21 PHNC 241700/.//	PHNC	PN	0	0	31
S1307WTPZ21KNHC250239	T	2013-07-25 02:39:00	TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062013 0300 UTC THU JUL 25 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 122.0W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 122.0W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 121.4W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.9N 124.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N 127.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.5N 130.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.5N 133.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 20.5N 143.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 21.0N 147.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 122.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z // FORECASTER AVILA	KNHC	PZ	0	0	21
S1307WTPZ31KNHC250240	T	2013-07-25 02:40:00	TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062013 800 PM PDT WED JUL 24 2013 ...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 122.0W ABOUT 950 MI...1530 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. // FORECASTER AVILA	KNHC	PZ	0	0	31
S1307WTPZ41KNHC250240	T	2013-07-25 02:40:00	TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062013 800 PM PDT WED JUL 24 2013 THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS BEEN TRACKING FOR A FEW DAYS ACROSS THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HAS FINALLY DEVELOPED ENOUGH ORGANIZED CONVECTION AND CIRCULATION TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. IN FACT...A LARGE AREA OF DEEP CIRCULAR CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING NEAR THE CENTER SUGGESTING AN UPWARD INTENSITY TREND. BOTH TAFB AND SAB DVORAK SATELLITE ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 30 KNOTS. GIVEN THE CURRENT EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT OF THE CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT...STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. HOWEVER... IT IS TOO LATE FOR SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION SINCE THE CYCLONE WILL BE REACHING COOLER WATERS IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME...A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN. THE INITIAL MOTION IS UNCERTAIN SINCE THE CIRCULATION HAS JUST BEGUN TO CONSOLIDATE. THE BEST ESTIMATE IS 290 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST SINCE THE CYCLONE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE EASTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. GLOBAL MODELS AMPLIFY THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH...AND THIS PATTERN SHOULD PROVIDE A MORE WESTWARD STEERING IN THE LATTER PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE TRACK GUIDANCE WHICH IS VERY CONSISTENT IN SHOWING A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TO WEST MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS TVCE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/0300Z 15.2N 122.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 25/1200Z 15.9N 124.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 26/0000Z 16.5N 127.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 26/1200Z 17.5N 130.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 27/0000Z 18.5N 133.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 28/0000Z 20.0N 139.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 29/0000Z 20.5N 143.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 120H 30/0000Z 21.0N 147.5W 30 KT 35 MPH // FORECASTER AVILA	KNHC	PZ	0	0	41
S1307WTNT24KNHC250246	T	2013-07-25 02:46:00	TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 0300 UTC THU JUL 25 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 33.2W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 33.2W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 32.4W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.7N 35.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N 39.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.2N 42.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.9N 46.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 20.5N 65.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 33.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z // FORECASTER BERG	KNHC	NT	0	0	24
